Who it is for — Readers choosing how many shares, units, lots or contracts to trade without letting available leverage decide their risk.
Position sizing converts a risk-per-trade budget and an invalidation distance into a tradable quantity. The formula is a starting point: minimum quantity, tradable increment, liquidity, margin, leverage and total exposure can impose a lower operational quantity.
In simple terms — Stop distance helps estimate planned risk per unit. The budget limits how many units fit the plan. Size comes last: gaps, slippage or non-execution can still produce a loss above the estimate.
General formula
In simple terms — Multiply points by point value, or the number of ticks by tick value. These units are not interchangeable; express the result in the account currency.
Let:
Bbe the risk budget in the account currency;C_fbe estimated fixed entry and exit costs in that currency;Ebe the entry price;Sbe the stop;Vbe the monetary value of one point per unit or contract;Fbe account-currency units per unit of the currency ofV(1 when they match);C_ube variable entry and exit costs and estimated slippage per unit, already in the account currency.
For a linear instrument, with |E − S| measured in points consistent with V, estimated risk per unit is:
Unit risk = |E − S| × V × F + C_uand theoretical quantity is:
Theoretical quantity = (B − C_f) / unit riskDo not use the quotient if B ≤ C_f or unit risk is zero or negative: the budget does not cover costs, or the inputs do not define valid sizing. A stop at the entry price also needs review; it does not make the trade risk-free. Validate prices, monetary values, conversion and costs; do not count spreads or fees twice.
Operational quantity should be rounded down to the tradable increment Δq. When permitted quantities are multiples of that increment:
Quantity = floor(theoretical quantity / Δq) × ΔqThe increment and minimum quantity can differ. After rounding, check minimum quantity, any minimum notional value and other product constraints. If no permitted positive quantity fits the budget, do not open the position. For a grid other than multiples of Δq, select the largest permitted quantity no greater than the theoretical quantity; never round up to reach the minimum.
| Instrument | What to use for V |
|---|---|
| Shares in the account currency | Usually 1 per price unit and share |
| Linear futures | Point value per contract; if tick value is known, V = tick value / tick size in points |
| Linear foreign exchange / CFDs | Point value per lot consistent with the distance used; a distance in pips requires pip value, with conversion applied only once |
| Options or another nonlinear/inverse instrument | Strategy payoff, sensitivities and scenario analysis; the linear formula may not apply |
Example — A hypothetical linear instrument: €500 budget, €20 estimated fixed costs, a stop 30 ticks away and a value of €10/tick per contract. To isolate the calculation, C_u = 0 here; real execution is not assumed to be free of variable costs or slippage. Estimated price risk is 30 × 10 = €300 per contract. (500 − 20) / 300 = 1.6; with a minimum and increment of one contract, quantity is 1. Planned loss including fixed costs is €320; for 2 contracts it would be €620, above the budget.
With C_u = €10 per contract instead, unit risk becomes €310: 480 / 310 ≈ 1.548. Quantity remains 1, with a total estimate of €330; 2 contracts would give €640. These are estimates under the stated assumptions, not guaranteed maximum losses.
Operating sequence
In simple terms — The calculation is only as valid as its inputs: a reasoned stop, correct contract specifications and known aggregate risk.
- Define invalidation. The technical stop comes from the hypothesis, not the desired size.
- Set the budget. In money or as a percentage of capital, considering other positions as well.
- Read the specifications. Tick size, tick value, multiplier, settlement currency, minimum quantity and increment.
- Estimate execution. Include spreads, fees and slippage before calculating; assess gap scenarios separately.
- Calculate and round. Always down relative to the stated budget, then check minimums.
- Apply constraints. Margin, leverage, exposure, liquidity and broker or exchange rules.
Volatility and the stop
Higher volatility may require a wider stop when invalidation must remain beyond ordinary noise. With the same budget and other inputs, a wider distance means a smaller theoretical quantity; rounding may leave the tradable quantity unchanged. Average True Range can be one input, but it does not determine either the stop or the risk on its own.
The table isolates price risk: F = 1, C_u = 0, the same V and theoretical quantities before rounding.
| Stop distance | Risk per unit | Effect on size, fixed budget |
|---|---|---|
| 2 points | 2 × V |
Larger |
| 4 points | 4 × V |
Halved |
Common mistake — Using the same lot size with different stops. If distance rises from 5 to 50 points while everything else remains equal, price risk increases tenfold.
Controls the formula does not replace
A quantity derived from one trade can still be excessive:
- correlated positions can lose together;
- size can exceed allocated capital or a leverage limit;
- an order large relative to available depth can increase slippage;
- margin requirements can change and force reductions;
- a stop can execute beyond the expected price, while a stop-limit may remain unfilled.
Margin is neither the risk budget nor the maximum loss: in futures it is collateral required to open and maintain the position. Having sufficient margin does not establish that size fits the planned risk.
For options, the simple entry-to-stop distance does not always describe the risk. Value and sensitivity change with the underlying price, volatility and time; some short option positions can lose far more than the premium received. Scenario analysis should match the strategy payoff.
There is no universal risk percentage. Teaching examples such as 1% or 2% are not rules: the choice depends on the strategy, loss distribution, leverage, objectives and tolerance for drawdown.
Pre-order checklist
- Inputs: are budget, stop, tick/point value and currency verified?
- Rounding: does quantity meet increment and minimum requirements without exceeding the budget?
- Portfolio: do aggregate risk and correlation remain within the plan?
- Execution: are costs and possible slippage included?
Silver path — Planning and management module. Index: Silver path.
Sources
- CME Group, Proper Position Size — stop → budget → contracts process, using tick distance and tick value.
- CME Group, Calculating Futures Contract Profit or Loss, “Value of a One-Tick Move” and “Calculation Example” — tick size, monetary value and number of ticks are distinct quantities.
- CME Group, The Benefits of Futures Margins, margin and margin-type sections — collateral, maintenance and possible liquidation.
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Investor.gov, Stop, Stop-Limit, and Trailing Stop Orders, “Stop Order” and “Stop-Limit Order” — trigger versus execution price and possible non-execution; the bulletin covers stocks.
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Investor.gov, An Introduction to Options — nonlinear payoffs and risks specific to option buyers and sellers.
Sources accessed 8 September 2026. Cost formulas, input checks and rounding are Cyclepedia teaching calculations; verify actual parameters against product and broker specifications.