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Cyclic theory

Hurst cyclic analysis theory: price model, principles and empirical foundations.

Cite this entry

This reference cites the Cyclepedia entry. The documents it draws on are listed in the entry’s sources.

Theory of cyclic analysis applied to markets: how Hurst (and others) model price, which principles govern the model, why cycles repeat.

Menu → Market Cycles → Cyclic theory — Here you build the «why» and the model. Technical terms live in Glossary; operational techniques under Market Cycles → Methodologies. If you do not know buy, timeframe, or trend, start at Concepts.


Encyclopedia — where foundations sit

Level Hub Typical question
1 What does «cycle» mean in general?
2 Foundations ← you are here How does Hurst decompose price?
3 What does «envelope» or «MD fluctuation» mean?
4 Who wrote all this?

From theory to practice: Market Cycles → Hurst tradition (book path) → Methodologies (techniques by phase).


Prerequisite — Chapter 1 in Hurst tradition: operating philosophy, compounding, four pillars. Then return here for the theoretical core.

# Entry What you learn
1 Price decomposition into components
2 Five principles of the model (1970)
3 5–10–20–40–80 day hierarchy
4 Visual tool (glossary)
5 Multi-cycle envelopes (glossary)

Next operational step: Ch. 3 in Methodologies — Chart pattern verification.


Topics by study phase

Hurst cyclic model (Ch. 2) — ✅ golden path

Entry Status
✅ ready
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Why prices change (Ch. 9)

Entry Status
✅ ready
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Spectral analysis (Ch. 11)

Entry Status
✅ ready
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Do not confuse with…

Entry Where Why
Concepts General idea, school-agnostic
Foundations 🟤 skeleton — to rewrite
Timing techniques «How to», not «what is the model»

Sources

  • J. M. Hurst, The Profit Magic of Stock Transaction Timing (1970) - Internet Archive.
  • J. M. Hurst, "Cyclic Analysis" (1974) - Reason.