In plain terms — Price never moves in a straight line: it rises, falls, repeats. A «cycle» is that recurring oscillation — on different scales (days, months, years).
A market cycle is movement that repeats over time: rise, peak, fall, trough, then rise again. Duration and magnitude vary by issue and period.
| Level | Example |
|---|---|
| Macro | Economic cycles, multi-year bear/bull |
| Operational | Swings from weeks to months — typical cyclic timing scale |
| Micro | Intraday oscillations |
Cycle vs trend
Trend is dominant direction on a time scale; cycle is the oscillatory component on top. Cyclic analysis models price as sum of cycles + fundamental trend (price-motion-model).
Not every wiggle is a «tradable» cycle: measurable structure (envelope, periodicity) and entry/exit rules are required.
Links
- timeframe
- moving-average
- volumetric-analysis
- discipline-cyclic-analysis
- hurst-nominal-cycles
- richard-wyckoff — accumulation / markup / distribution / markdown (supply–demand method)
- concetti