In one sentence — Edge-band enters early near the lower boundary; mid-band waits for another pause near the center. The first seeks more room, the second more confirmation.
Position comes after the signal
Both labels belong to the Chapter 4 graphic method. They first require an estimated low window, a favorable sum of higher components, and a break of a valid downtrend line. Only then does Hurst distinguish where price sits inside the envelope.
“Band” means an area, not an exact level. The channel itself is estimated: amplitude, center line, and boundary may change as new extremes arrive.
Edge-band: early confirmation at the boundary
An edge-band entry occurs when the VTL breaks in the turn zone near the lower boundary. In the historical model, substantial room remains before the upper edge, so potential movement relative to elapsed time may look attractive.
The cost of early timing is more fragile confirmation. An incorrect envelope, a poorly selected VTL, or wrongly directed longer components can turn the presumed boundary into a passage toward lower prices. An invalidation point is therefore not optional.
Mid-band: a second opportunity
After the first rise, a shorter component can produce a pause or contraction. Hurst draws another VTL on the pause’s upper edge. If it breaks near the operating channel’s midpoint, he calls it a mid-band entry.
Price has already crossed part of the channel, so less room remains. Hurst argues that the dominant components may change faster near the central area and expresses the comparison as return per unit of time. This is a logic internal to the model, not a universal property of every channel center.
What the Gruen case shows
In the book’s account, the edge-band entry is around 7½, and the security reaches about 13 over 65 days. The later mid-band entry is around 8½ and is compared with a close about 36 days later. Hurst annualizes both moves and obtains very high percentages, with the mid-band figure higher.
Those annualizations magnify a single short move as if it could repeat for a year. They are historical case figures, not expected-return estimates. The comparison does not control for security selection, losing periods, liquidity, slippage, or multiple attempts.
How to compare them properly
A modern test would use identical rules for defining envelopes, VTLs, and entries; include every signal, costs, and missed trades; and separate development from evaluation samples. Bailey, Borwein, López de Prado, and Zhu show how repeated backtest optimization can select strategies that deteriorate out of sample. Their study does not test edge-band or mid-band, but it describes the relevant methodological risk.
Evidence boundary — Gruen illustrates two successful entries during one rise. It does not establish which is generally better or the false-signal rate. The book’s annualized percentages are not repeatable-return estimates.
Sources
- J. M. Hurst, The Profit Magic of Stock Transaction Timing, Prentice-Hall, 1970, Ch. 4, pp. 78–85, Figs. IV-9 and IV-10 — edge-band and mid-band entries in the Gruen case.
- David H. Bailey, Jonathan M. Borwein, Marcos López de Prado, and Qiji Jim Zhu, The Probability of Backtest Overfitting, Journal of Computational Finance, 2015 — risk of selecting results that deteriorate out of sample.
Related entries
- Graphic buy timing — complete sequence
- Valid trend line — confirmation
- Gruen Industries case — case data and limits