cyclic-period

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A quién sirve — Measuring how long a cycle lasts on the chart you trade. Without a reliable period, envelopes, averages and FLD are tuned to noise.

The cyclic period (P, wavelength) is the time (or bar count) between two consecutive troughs of the same cycle — crest-to-crest is valid on symmetric components. It is the scale that calibrates Hurst analysis on each instrument.

In plain terms — «How often» the low (or high) repeats. Not a universal fixed number: measured per market.


Nominal vs measured

Type Description
Nominal period Standard Hurst scale (~10, ~20, ~40, ~80 bars…)
Current wavelength Effective period measured low-to-low
Trading cycle Dominant cycle chosen to trade

Nominal cycles are a compass; wavelength on the instrument can diverge via compression or stretch (time translation).


How to measure

  • Constant-width envelope → count bars between valid lows
  • Phasing on nested cycles → 2:1 period consistency
  • Spectrum / FFT → dominant frequency estimate (watch noise)

Period feeds half-span average spans, curvilinear envelope construction and FLD offset (½·P).

Error típico — Copying period from another symbol or timeframe without recalibration — signals and targets out of phase.

Ejemplo — Three troughs spaced 38, 41 and 39 bars → wavelength ~40 bars; FLD for that cycle shifts forward 20 bars.

Card

  • Units: bars, days, weeks (consistent with TF).
  • Recalibrate: after regime shift or volatility shock.
  • Pair with: cycle phase for timing.

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