Bollinger Bands, developed by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, wrap price in a channel that breathes with the market: a central moving average (SMA 20) and two bands set at ±2 standard deviations. When volatility rises the bands widen; when the market calms down, they tighten. The channel does not mark the impossible — it marks the normal of the last 20 periods.
In plain terms — An elastic band around price: when the market gets agitated, the elastic stretches to make room; when it calms, it shrinks back. Touching the elastic does not mean price will turn — it means it is doing something unusual by the standards of recent weeks.
How they are built
| Line | Formula | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Middle band | SMA 20 | The reference: the period's average |
| Upper band | SMA 20 + 2σ | The upper edge of "normal" |
| Lower band | SMA 20 − 2σ | The lower edge of "normal" |
The choice of 2 standard deviations means that, in ordinary conditions, the vast majority of closes fall inside the channel. Band width is itself an indicator (Bandwidth): its recent historical low is the squeeze.
How to read the chart — Price line with dashed gold bands (±2σ) and the central SMA 20 (teal). The sequence shown is the full life cycle: normal volatility → squeeze → expansion with walk the band. Interactive — the highlighted points explain the squeeze, the band walk and mean reversion.
Reading it in practice
The bands support two opposite readings, and the regime decides which one applies:
- In a range: reversion to the mean — without an underlying direction, price touching a band tends to drift back toward the SMA 20. The classic sideways-market use, to be confirmed by the price reaction at the edge.
- In a trend: walk the band — a healthy trend can hug the outer band for dozens of bars. Touching the band here is strength, not excess: selling "because it touched the upper band" in a strong trend is the mirror image of the RSI overbought myth.
- Squeeze — bands at minimum width: the market has stopped moving, energy is building. Compression often precedes expansion, without indicating its direction: the squeeze loads the spring, the breakout decides.
Limits and traps
Warning — "It touched the band, so it will revert" is only true in ranges. The first touch after a squeeze is often the beginning of the move, not its end: mistaking the start of a trend for an excess to fade is the fastest way to end up against it.
- Standard deviation assumes well-behaved dispersion: in crashes price can close outside the bands for days.
- The parameters (20, 2σ) are the starting convention; shortening or tightening them multiplies false signals.
Links
- volatility · standard-deviation — the underlying concepts
- atr — the other volatility ruler, in points rather than σ
- ema — the middle band is a moving average
- indicatori — catalogue hub