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Learning path Silver Repeatable method

Recovery factor

Net profit / max drawdown — how much the system «repays» the worst historical hole.

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This reference cites the Cyclepedia entry. The documents it draws on are listed in the entry’s sources.

Who this is for — Anyone looking at MDD in isolation. Recovery factor says whether cumulative profits justify maximum pain endured.

Recovery factor = historical net profit ÷ absolute max drawdown. Measures resilience: how many times total gain «covers» the worst drop.

In plain terms — How much you earned vs deepest hole — the method's shock absorber.

RECOVERY FACTOR (METHOD RESILIENCE) - 10K MAX DRAWDOWN VS + 40K NET PROFIT RF = 4.0 Se hai guadagnato 40k subendo al massimo una discesa di 10k, la tua capacità di assorbire i colpi è eccellente (RF 4.0).
Net profit / MDD = recovery. Select a point to explore.

Formula and thresholds

Recovery Factor = Net Profit / Max Drawdown

RF Reading
< 2 Fragile long horizon
2 – 4 Solid retail pro
> 4 Very resilient (verify sample)

Example: +30k net, MDD −10k → RF = 3.0.


Drawdown duration

High RF but 18-month recovery = psychological abandonment risk. Also track time from peak to new ATH.

Typical mistake — RF on 3 months of data — meaningless; need ≥ 1–2 years or large sample.

Example — 5-year backtest: net +45R, MDD −12R → RF 3.75; average recovery 4 months.

Summary card

  • Formula: net profit / |MDD|.
  • Pair: MDD + recovery duration.
  • Min history: 12+ months live or robust backtest.

Silver path — Metrics module. Index: Silver path.


Sources