The Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō — "the equilibrium chart at a glance" — is the life's work of Japanese journalist Goichi Hosoda, published in 1969 after thirty years of development. It is not an indicator but a complete system: five lines answering trend, momentum and levels together. The technical difference from Western averages is the ingredient: not averages of closes but range midpoints — (high + low) / 2 of the window — the centre of the contested territory, the equilibrium.
In plain terms — Every Ichimoku line asks the same thing: "what is the equilibrium point of the last 9, 26, 52 sessions?". Price far from equilibrium tends to return to it; equilibrium projected forward — the cloud — becomes the map of the levels price will meet.
The five lines
| Line | Formula | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 9-period range midpoint | Short-term equilibrium — the fast line |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 26-period range midpoint | The reference equilibrium — trend and stop base |
| Senkou Span A | (Tenkan + Kijun)/2, projected +26 | First edge of the cloud |
| Senkou Span B | 52-period range midpoint, projected +26 | Second edge — the slowest |
| Chikou Span | today's close, shifted −26 | Comparison with the past: confirmation |
Between Span A and Span B stretches the Kumo, the cloud: a zone — not a line — of support and resistance, drawn 26 periods into the future.
How to read the chart — Price (line) with Tenkan (gold), Kijun (blue) and the cloud projected beyond the "now" line: everything computed with the real formulas (9, 26, 52). Chikou omitted for clarity. Interactive — the points show the Tenkan/Kijun cross, the cloud as a zone and the +26 projection.
Reading it in practice
- Position relative to the cloud first — above the Kumo: bullish context; below: bearish; inside: a market in transition, signals suspended. It is the system's regime filter, the Western SMA 200's equivalent but with thickness.
- Cloud thickness is information — a thick Kumo = equilibrium defended by a long range: crossing it takes force; a thin Kumo = fragile, easy to pierce. The twist (Span A crossing Span B) marks where the future map changes colour.
- Tenkan/Kijun cross — the Ichimoku version of the average crossover, with the same hierarchy: worth more in the direction of the context (above the cloud for longs), less against it.
- Kijun as the reversion reference — price stretching too far from the Kijun tends to return to it (equilibrium attracts): many Japanese traders use it as the base for stops and reversion targets.
Limits and traps
Warning — Five lines do not mean five confirmations: they are the same price seen from five angles. An "all-green" Ichimoku panel is one vote repeated, not a unanimous assembly — the collinearity problem of every single-source system.
- The 9/26/52 parameters come from the 1930s Japanese exchange calendar (six-day weeks): they work by shared convention, not by any property of the numbers.
- On young markets or short timeframes the projected cloud covers half the chart and keeps changing: the system pays off on medium-to-long horizons.
Links
- ema — the natural comparison: average of closes vs range midpoint
- trend · support · resistance
- indicatori — catalogue hub